What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 98

Settles Oct 08, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Costco Foot Traffic in September

chance of YES2% -8.0pp in 24h

Price range (35h)

1–9%

24h volume

1.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

600

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 35h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.