What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Below 210

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (136d) 24h volume 230 Open interest 221.6K Event How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

implied YES probability

-1.1pp 24h

Last 74 days · High 10% · Low 5% · 7d -35.2pp · 30d -40.3pp

Spread 0.2¢ · Mid 6.9¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.