What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

214-217

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 40.4K Event How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

implied YES probability

Last 42 days · High 10% · Low 1% · 7d -11.1pp · 30d +29.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.