What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Bridget Brink

Closes Aug 04, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 115 Open interest 3.6K Event Who will drop out of their election?

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 4% · Low 1%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.