What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Matt Maasdam

Closes Aug 04, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 857 Open interest 5.1K Event Who will drop out of their election?

implied YES probability

-3.5pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 5% · Low 1%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.