kalshi
Economics
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
Hike 25bps
38%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 75 days ·
High 40% ·
Low 13%
· 7d +32.1pp
· 30d +60.9pp
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Stubborn inflation sets stage for Federal Reserve to hike interest rates
Fox Business Latest · 14h ago
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Federal Reserve Expected to Raise Interest Rates
Bloomberg Politics · 2h ago
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Why a Federal Reserve rate hike could be a ‘rare win’ for your retirement money
MarketWatch · 11h ago
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Fed meeting live updates: Anticipation builds with Fed expected to hike interest rates for first time in 3 years
Yahoo Finance · 17h ago
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'More Risky' If Fed Doesn't Hike Rates, Invesco Says
Bloomberg Markets · 1h ago
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.0¢ | 14548 | 39.0¢ | 10610 | |
| 36.0¢ | 11339 | 40.0¢ | 130 | |
| 35.0¢ | 445 | 43.0¢ | 1 | |
| 34.0¢ | 1614 | 51.0¢ | 85 | |
| 33.0¢ | 2080 | 52.0¢ | 300 |
Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 38.0¢
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