What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike >25bps

Closes Oct 28, 2026 (42d) 24h volume 10.2K Open interest 44.4K Event Fed decision in Oct 2026?

2%

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Last 33 days · High 4% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -50.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.