What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 9%, implying a 9% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 25, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 4500 mw

Closes Feb 25, 2027 (161d) 24h volume 2.7K Open interest 2.2K Event First Solar module volume sold in Q3

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 14% · Low 14%

Not enough price history yet.

FSLR First Solar, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.