What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 25, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 3900 mw

Closes Feb 25, 2027 (161d) 24h volume 115 Open interest 1.2K Event First Solar module volume sold in Q3

92%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 92% · Low 87%

FSLR First Solar, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.