What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 25, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 4600 mw

Closes Feb 25, 2027 (161d) 24h volume 690 Open interest 548 Event First Solar module volume sold in Q3

11%

implied YES probability

Last 2 days · High 11% · Low 11%

FSLR First Solar, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.