kalshi
Elections
Will David Crowley be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
David Crowley
4%
implied YES probability
+0.6pp 24h
Price history
Last 70 days ·
High 28% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -58.3pp
· 30d +100.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing David Crowley as a 6% chance to be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Crowley's current status as a candidate and the ongoing primary election process. The market is asking whether Crowley will emerge victorious from the Democratic primary, with the outcome dependent on various factors including voter preferences, campaign strategies, and potential endorsements. A significant shift in these dynamics could impact the price, potentially driving it up if Crowley gains momentum or down if his chances appear to dwindle. As the nomination date approaches, market participants will continue to assess the likelihood of Crowley's success, with the current 6% probability serving as a baseline for future adjustments.
Generated Jul 29, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1¢ | 14 | 4.2¢ | 1000 | |
| 3.5¢ | 1 | 4.7¢ | 300 | |
| 3.4¢ | 15 | 6.0¢ | 2000 | |
| 3.3¢ | 20 | 6.3¢ | 432 | |
| 3.1¢ | 28 | 6.4¢ | 5464 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 4.2¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.