kalshi Elections

Will Mandela Barnes be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?

Mandela Barnes
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (91d) 24h volume 49 Open interest 196.5K Event Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
0%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 62% · Low 0% · 7d -98.7pp · 30d -99.3pp
62%0%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 2% probability that Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Barnes' current status as a state senator and his potential appeal to progressive voters. The market price would likely increase if there were significant endorsements or fundraising efforts on behalf of Barnes, or if other candidates withdrew from the race, making him a more likely nominee. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price could be triggered by the emergence of a stronger candidate or a shift in public opinion away from Barnes. As the election approaches and more information becomes available, the market price is expected to fluctuate accordingly.
Generated Jul 29, 2026

Trade on Kalshi

Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.