What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Mandela Barnes

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 2.6K Open interest 48.6K Event Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

24%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 66 days · High 62% · Low 24% · 7d -60.0pp · 30d -50.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.