kalshi
Elections
Will Mandela Barnes be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
Mandela Barnes
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 62% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -98.7pp
· 30d -99.3pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 2% probability that Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Barnes' current status as a state senator and his potential appeal to progressive voters. The market price would likely increase if there were significant endorsements or fundraising efforts on behalf of Barnes, or if other candidates withdrew from the race, making him a more likely nominee. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price could be triggered by the emergence of a stronger candidate or a shift in public opinion away from Barnes. As the election approaches and more information becomes available, the market price is expected to fluctuate accordingly.
Generated Jul 29, 2026
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