kalshi
Elections
Will Francesca Hong be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
Francesca Hong
96%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 96% ·
Low 27%
· 7d +14.3pp
· 30d +92.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a high likelihood that Francesca Hong will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin, with a YES price of 0.91, implying a probability of approximately 91%. This assessment is informed by known facts about Hong's campaign and her standing within the party. The current price reflects a general consensus among market participants regarding her chances of securing the nomination. Any developments that could impact Hong's candidacy, such as changes in her campaign strategy or shifts in public opinion, would likely influence the YES price upward. Conversely, news that challenges her prospects or increases competition for the nomination could cause the price to decline. The market will continue to reflect updates and adjustments until it closes on November 3rd, 2026 at 15:00:00Z.
Generated Jul 29, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95.7¢ | 1567 | 95.8¢ | 1000 | |
| 95.5¢ | 42 | 95.9¢ | 167 | |
| 95.4¢ | 471 | 96.0¢ | 5084 | |
| 95.2¢ | 34 | 96.1¢ | 100 | |
| 95.1¢ | 708 | 96.5¢ | 13 |
Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 95.8¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.