What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

80° to 81°

Settles Oct 08, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 7, 2026?

chance of YES24%

Price range (5h)

11–22%

24h volume

366

$1 contracts

Open interest

321

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 5h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.