What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

100° or above

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 6, 2026?

chance of YES1% -10.0pp in 24h

Price range (29h)

1–37%

24h volume

180.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

134.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$7K

0% on YES

hourly, 29h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

94° to 95°99%111.6K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 6, 2:00 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,937	$2K
Oct 6, 1:50 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,105	$1K
Oct 6, 1:34 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,663	$3K
Oct 6, 1:19 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,254	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.