What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

63° to 64°

chance of YES2% -34.0pp in 24h

Price range (29h)

3–42%

24h volume

36.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

21.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

—

none recorded

hourly, 29h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.