What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

65° or below

chance of YES26%

Price range (5h)

14–26%

24h volume

2.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 5h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.