K KalshiWeather & Climate

Will the maximum temperature be >86° on Oct 6, 2026?

87° or above
Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 6, 2026?

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chance of YES99% +89.0pp in 24h
Price range (29h)
10–85%
24h volume
8.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
5.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 29h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

83° to 84°1%6.4K
85° to 86°1%6.8K
81° to 82°1%2.9K
78° or below1%353
79° to 80°1%611

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES93¢ 1,439$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.