What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

80° or below

chance of YES0% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (26h)

1–2%

24h volume

429

$1 contracts

Open interest

627

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 26h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.