What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

97° to 98°

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 6, 2026?

chance of YES52% +47.5pp in 24h

Price range (30h)

3–57%

24h volume

7.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 30h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.