What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

76° or below

chance of YES46%

Price range (5h)

36–52%

24h volume

1.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 5h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.