What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Before October

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 56.9K Open interest 1.4M Event When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

2%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Last 88 days · High 16% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -71.4pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

AAPL Apple Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.