Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

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Preview
chance of YES4% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–22%
30d -25 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
6.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
344.4K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
4.0¢ 7,067 5.0¢ 18,220
3.0¢ 59,854 6.0¢ 34,175
2.0¢ 78,409 7.0¢ 887
1.0¢ 20,783 8.0¢ 502
9.0¢ 10,938

Mid 4.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO97¢ 1,365$1K
NO97¢ 1,171$1K
NO97¢ 9,327$9K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.