What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Haruka Kaji

Settles Oct 23, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Kaji vs Sato

chance of YES0%

Price range (9h)

1–60%

24h volume

674.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

268.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$168K

35% on YES

hourly, 9h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Naho Sato100%638.9K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 8, 10:32 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,467	$1K
Oct 8, 10:30 PM ET	NO	95¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 8, 10:30 PM ET	NO	97¢	3,770	$4K
Oct 8, 10:29 PM ET	NO	93¢	1,370	$1K
Oct 8, 10:27 PM ET	YES	10¢	11,350	$1K
Oct 8, 10:26 PM ET	NO	91¢	2,611	$2K
Oct 8, 10:22 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,689	$2K
Oct 8, 10:13 PM ET	NO	98¢	1,234	$1K
Oct 8, 10:12 PM ET	NO	96¢	9,991	$10K
Oct 8, 10:11 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,180	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.