What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Naho Sato

Settles Oct 23, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Kaji vs Sato

chance of YES100%

Price range (16h)

41–99%

24h volume

638.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

279.3K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

$200K

98% on YES

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 8, 10:32 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,526	$3K
Oct 8, 10:30 PM ET	YES	97¢	4,103	$4K
Oct 8, 10:30 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,056	$2K
Oct 8, 10:30 PM ET	YES	96¢	1,839	$2K
Oct 8, 10:29 PM ET	YES	93¢	2,881	$3K
Oct 8, 10:28 PM ET	YES	90¢	3,304	$3K
Oct 8, 10:27 PM ET	YES	92¢	3,000	$3K
Oct 8, 10:24 PM ET	YES	95¢	10,309	$10K
Oct 8, 10:24 PM ET	YES	98¢	5,333	$5K
Oct 8, 10:22 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,032	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.