Will Mamdani sign above 0 executive orders between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 10, 2026?

Above 0
Settles Oct 11, 2026 (4d) All outcomes: Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/4 - 10/10)

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chance of YES14% -2.0pp in 24h
Price range (2d)
6–19%
24h volume
3.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
626
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 2d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO83¢ 1,418$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.