Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 6, 2026 be above 62.5%?
chance of YES2%
Price range (2h)
1–6%
24h volume
2.1K
Open interest
1.1K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
hourly, 2hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Above 50.4%73%130
Above 59.2%42%300
Above 54.4%34%4
Above 66.0%2%1.3K
Above 74.2%1%5.3K
Above 69.0%1%4.4K
Above 70.6%1%4.1K
Above 68.0%1%3.9K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 94¢ | 1,133 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.