What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 58.1%

chance of YES60%

Price range (16h)

50–51%

24h volume

318

$1 contracts

Open interest

270

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.