What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 84%, implying a 84% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Miami

Settles Oct 08, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Where will it rain on Oct 7, 2026?

chance of YES84%

Price range (11h)

83–88%

24h volume

3.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

3.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 11h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.