What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Below 193

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (136d) 24h volume 24.4K Open interest 357.8K Event How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

30%

implied YES probability

+7.0pp 24h

Last 88 days · High 31% · Low 15% · 7d +40.9pp · 30d +29.2pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 29.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.