What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 9%, implying a 9% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

208-212

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 145 Open interest 80.0K Event How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

implied YES probability

-1.1pp 24h

Last 72 days · High 13% · Low 6% · 7d -3.1pp · 30d -28.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.