What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

198-202

Closes Feb 01, 2027 (229d) 24h volume 15 Open interest 65.3K Event How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

12%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 75 days · High 17% · Low 10% · 7d -7.7pp · 30d -7.7pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.