What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 99

chance of YES22%

Price range (19h)

10–35%

24h volume

2.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 19h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 55100%13.0K