What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Autopen / Auto Pen

Settles Oct 05, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

chance of YES2% -19.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

12–55%

24h volume

19.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

15.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Melania100%9.4K

Ukraine100%9.9K

Moon99%38.8K