What does "Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Oct 5, 2026?" resolve to?

Will Trump say "Rigged Election / Stolen Election" before Oct 5, 2026?

What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

This market closes on Oct 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Melania100%9.4K

Ukraine100%9.9K

Moon99%38.8K