What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Who are you with / Where are you from

Settles Oct 04, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

chance of YES50%

Price range (120d)

35–99%

24h volume

2.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

10.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$1K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Melania100%9.4K

Ukraine100%9.9K

Moon99%38.8K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 2, 4:01 PM ET	YES	92¢	1,139	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.