What will Trump say this week?
50/50 line50%Sleepy Joe
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move-20 pts
2%
24h volume
$302K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noMoon
100%
Melania
100%
Ukraine
100%
Stupid Question
99%
Sleepy Joe
50%
Voter ID
50%
Cuba / Cuban
50%
Kamala
50%
Third Term
50%
Bibi / Netanyahu
50%
+ 16 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- EpsteinYES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Marijuana / Weed / CannabisYES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- AntifaYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Prediction Market / Predictive MarketYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- MelaniaYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- UraniumYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- KamalaYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- UFO / UAPYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antifa | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Melania | YES | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Epstein | NO | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| UFO / UAP | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Uranium | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Epstein | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Make Iran Great Again | NO | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | NO | 99¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
30| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moon | 100% | — | $37K | $43K |
| Melania | 100% | — | $10K | $18K |
| Ukraine | 100% | — | $10K | $14K |
| Stupid Question | 99% | — | $28K | $34K |
| Sleepy Joe | 50% | — | $6K | $44K |
| Voter ID | 50% | — | $283 | $2K |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 50% | — | $22K | $38K |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 50% | — | $353 | $3K |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | 50% | — | $2K | $10K |
| Cuba / Cuban | 50% | — | $2K | $5K |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | 50% | — | $2K | $5K |
| Kamala | 50% | — | $5K | $14K |
| Third Term | 50% | — | $2K | $11K |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 50% | — | $513 | $4K |
| Save America Act | 50% | — | $187 | $2K |
| Nobel | 10% | +2.0 | $27K | $21K |
| Ceasefire | 8% | +2.5 | $28K | $28K |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 4% | -5.5 | $22K | $20K |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 2% | -4.0 | $11K | $10K |
| Epstein | 2% | -1.0 | $11K | $9K |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 2% | -19.5 | $18K | $15K |
| Golden Dome | 2% | -4.0 | $6K | $7K |
| Peace in the Middle East | 2% | -2.5 | $12K | $12K |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | 1% | — | $4K | $6K |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 1% | -1.0 | $8K | $7K |
| Uranium | 1% | -1.0 | $8K | $8K |
| Make Iran Great Again | 1% | — | $5K | $7K |
| UFO / UAP | 1% | -1.0 | $4K | $4K |
| Soleimani | 1% | -4.0 | $4K | $5K |
| Antifa | 0% | -4.0 | $7K | $6K |