Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Oct 5, 2026?
chance of YES1%
Price range (120d)
1–9%
24h volume
4.3K
Open interest
5.9K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Stupid Question100%28.8K
Melania100%9.4K
Ukraine100%9.9K
Moon99%38.8K
Sleepy Joe50%5.9K
Voter ID50%283
Barack Hussein Obama50%21.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 99¢ | 1,741 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.