What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Melania

Settles Oct 05, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

chance of YES100% +2.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

50–98%

24h volume

9.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

18.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$2K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Ukraine100%9.9K

Moon99%38.8K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 4, 9:39 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,734	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.