What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Bibi / Netanyahu

Settles Oct 04, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

chance of YES50%

Price range (120d)

25–99%

24h volume

513

$1 contracts

Open interest

4.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$1K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Melania100%9.4K

Ukraine100%9.9K

Moon99%38.8K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Sep 30, 4:59 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,259	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.