What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Third Term

Settles Oct 04, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

chance of YES50%

Price range (120d)

14–99%

24h volume

2.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

11.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

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