Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Oct 5, 2026?

Make Iran Great Again
chance of YES1% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–9%
24h volume
4.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO99¢ 1,431$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.