Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" before Oct 5, 2026?
chance of YES1%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–9%
24h volume
4.7K
Open interest
7.1K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Stupid Question100%28.8K
Melania100%9.4K
Ukraine100%9.9K
Moon99%38.8K
Sleepy Joe50%5.9K
Voter ID50%283
Barack Hussein Obama50%21.6K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 99¢ | 1,431 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.
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