Will Trump say "Ceasefire" before Oct 5, 2026?
chance of YES6%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
4–46%
24h volume
34.8K
Open interest
33.7K
Bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0¢ | 451 | 7.0¢ | 549 |
| 5.0¢ | 62 | 8.0¢ | 969 |
| 4.0¢ | 500 | 9.0¢ | 250 |
| 2.0¢ | 38 | 10.0¢ | 100 |
| 1.0¢ | 1,950 | 11.0¢ | 224 |
Mid 6.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
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