Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Oct 12, 2026?
chance of YES99%
+5.0pp in 24h
Price range (39h)
82–99%
24h volume
7.2K
Open interest
7.2K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
hourly, 39hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Voter ID100%3.3K
Save America Act100%2.2K
Kamala100%3.4K
Socialist / Socialism100%1.2K
Dividend / Stimulus100%5.4K
Blockade100%2.5K
Stupid Question100%2.4K
Autopen / Auto Pen100%7.4K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 99¢ | 1,619 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.