Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" before Oct 12, 2026?

Barack Hussein Obama
Settles Oct 12, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

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chance of YES99% +5.0pp in 24h
Price range (39h)
82–99%
24h volume
7.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.2K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 39h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES99¢ 1,619$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.