What will Trump say this week?
50/50 line50%Transgender
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move+77 pts
100%
24h volume
$63K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noSleepy Joe
100%
+6
Voter ID
100%
+3
Save America Act
100%
+3
Barack Hussein Obama
100%
+4
Kamala
100%
+8
Socialist / Socialism
100%
+4
Dividend / Stimulus
100%
+3
Blockade
100%
+8
Stupid Question
100%
+77
Autopen / Auto Pen
100%
+49
Bibi / Netanyahu
62%
-22
+ 25 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Barack Hussein ObamaYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- NobelYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Autopen / Auto PenYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Stupid QuestionYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Sleepy JoeYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Superintelligence / Super IntelligenceYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stupid Question | YES | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | YES | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Sleepy Joe | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Barack Hussein Obama | YES | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Nobel | YES | 98¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
39| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy Joe | 100% | +6.0 | $4K | $4K |
| Voter ID | 100% | +3.0 | $3K | $3K |
| Save America Act | 100% | +3.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100% | +4.0 | $7K | $7K |
| Kamala | 100% | +8.0 | $3K | $3K |
| Socialist / Socialism | 100% | +4.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Dividend / Stimulus | 100% | +3.0 | $6K | $6K |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | 100% | +8.0 | $4K | $4K |
| Blockade | 100% | +8.0 | $3K | $3K |
| Stupid Question | 100% | +77.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 100% | +49.0 | $7K | $8K |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | 76% | -8.0 | $838 | $854 |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 66% | -3.5 | $422 | $422 |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 62% | -21.5 | $59 | $64 |
| Melania | 60% | -12.0 | $204 | $599 |
| Transgender | 50% | +1.0 | $1K | $3K |
| Nobel | 50% | — | $3K | $5K |
| Steel | 50% | +9.0 | $1K | $984 |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | 50% | +11.0 | $1K | $2K |
| Canada / Canadian | 50% | +4.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Landslide | 50% | +8.0 | $930 | $1K |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | 48% | -8.0 | $493 | $457 |
| Third Term | 46% | -5.0 | $257 | $238 |
| Moon | 41% | -26.0 | $397 | $364 |
| Golden Dome | 40% | -17.0 | $3K | $2K |
| Cybersecurity / Cyber Security | 40% | +20.0 | $104 | $217 |
| Cuba / Cuban | 33% | -38.0 | $227 | $191 |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 32% | +10.0 | $774 | $1K |
| Antifa | 22% | +15.0 | $134 | $263 |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 18% | +4.0 | $137 | $176 |
| Peace in the Middle East | 15% | -10.0 | $937 | $841 |
| Ceasefire | 15% | -14.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Soleimani | 12% | +1.0 | $172 | $538 |
| UFO / UAP | 10% | +6.0 | $185 | $295 |
| Uranium | 10% | +6.0 | $855 | $947 |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 8% | -2.0 | $563 | $868 |
| Epstein | 7% | -3.0 | $242 | $340 |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | 6% | -1.0 | $6 | $200 |
| Make Iran Great Again | 4% | +2.0 | $1K | $1K |