What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Steel

Settles Oct 06, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

chance of YES50% +9.0pp in 24h

Price range (23h)

59–99%

24h volume

1.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

984

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 23h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Kamala100%3.4K