What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 21%, implying a 21% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Crypto / Bitcoin

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week? Live crypto prices

chance of YES21% +7.0pp in 24h

Price range (33h)

14–38%

24h volume

136

$1 contracts

Open interest

176

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 33h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

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