Will Trump say "TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome" before Oct 12, 2026?

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
Settles Oct 12, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

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chance of YES78% +4.5pp in 24h
Price range (38h)
67–85%
24h volume
833
$1 contracts
Open interest
854
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 38h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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