Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Oct 9, 2026?
chance of YES78%
+10.5pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
68–88%
24h volume
278
Open interest
278
Large orders (14d)
—
Odds and volume
hourly, 4dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
5.11% or above94%20
5.13% or above92%10
5.15% or above85%100
5.19% or above84%551
5.17% or above82%66
5.23% or above78%100
5.25% or above76%206
5.27% or above48%23