What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Rashida Tlaib

Closes Aug 04, 2026 (47d) 24h volume $100 Open interest $50.2K Event Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 0% · Low 0% · 7d -66.7pp · 30d -66.7pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.